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The plan in Iraq is to liberate Mosul from the Islamic State IS before the end of , although realistically this is more likely to take place in Without addressing these issues, history will repeat itself and IS will either return or morph into another radicalised entity looking to represent marginalised Sunnis.
The Prime Minister of Iraq, Haider al-Abadi, is under pressure to show action against IS due to scores of suicide bombs in Baghdad and his failure to implement reforms. The precarious position of Abadi — and the central government of Iraq in general — optimises the chaos in Iraq, which further highlights the difficulty of implementing a successful post-IS solution.
The uprising of Sunnis and the acceptance of IS by many of the local population was due to political sideling and authoritarian majority sectarian actions by the central government.
These issues need to be addressed, however, currently a cabinet cannot even be agreed upon by the Iraqi parliament. They also do not trust the peshmerga, due to what is seen as land grabs in the disputed territories and Kurdish secessionist desires. A fear that is justified giving the brutal actions of Hashd al-Shaabi in Tikrit and the reported actions in Fallujah. Currently there are not enough Sunni forces to enter and take a city, thus leaving forces that are not trusted by the local people to enter.
If Iraq cannot provide political answers for those living under IS and can also not send in trusted military forces, it is not ready to defeat IS. Any actions under these circumstances will only create animosity and will not address the core issues behind the rise of IS, therefore making any victory merely symbolic — and a weak symbol at that. Consequently, it is imperative that a plan heavily focused on Sunni involvement in the planning and development of post-liberation Mosul.